Ye Jianchun: Current status and prospects of China’s cotton textile industry
On June 17, at the 2021 China International Cotton Conference jointly sponsored by the China Cotton Association and the National Cotton Trading Market, the ChinaCotton Textile Industry Association Engineer Ye Jianchun introduced the current overall operation of the cotton textile industry with the title “Current Status and Prospects of the Operation of China’s Cotton Textile Industry”.
In recent years, the production capacity of China’s cotton textile industry has gradually developed towards intelligent, automation and greening. According to statistics from the Cotton Textile Industry Association, as of 2020, my country’s spinning production capacity is 110 million spindles and 1.04 million looms. Judging from the overall situation from January to May this year, the cotton spinning situation is very good, and the opening rate has greatly rebounded. Ye Jianchun said that the overall spinning production capacity is expected to rebound this year.
From the perspective of equipment production efficiency, overall production will be basically stable in 2020, and gauze output will be basically stable. Affected by the epidemic, yarn output last year was 16.41 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 10.3%; cloth output was 46 billion meters, a year-on-year decrease of 17.9%.
Judging from the development of equipment, thanks to the development of intelligent manufacturing in the industry in recent years, equipment has developed very rapidly. In terms of intelligent manufacturing during the “13th Five-Year Plan“, cotton spinning ranks first in the entire textile industry; after the “14th Five-Year Plan”, intelligent manufacturing will improve faster. The biggest problem in cotton spinning now is the human problem. The difficulty of recruiting workers in factories is very prominent. In addition, technical personnel are aging and the overall enterprise managementlack of talent is also facing great pressure.
He gave a brief introduction to the advanced equipment in the industry. From the perspective of new rotor spinning, the matching speed of automatic rotor spinning will also be a big development in the technological transformation of coastal and central regions in the future. direction. The other is thick and thin linkage and fine linkage, mainly ring spinning. After supporting automation, especially for enterprises that produce spinning mass, this technological transformation may be accelerated faster and faster. In addition, automatic drawing-in, shuttleless looms and high-speed looms represent the development of equipment in the future. With the transformation of intelligent manufacturing supporting facilities, the development of the equipment industry will be greatly accelerated.
Judging from the fiber usage in the industry, my country’s cotton fiber usage in 2020 will be 6 million tons, mainly used for cotton spinning. Compared with 2019, the amount of cotton used in cotton textiles in 2020 decreased by 13% year-on-year, and the amount of non-cotton fiber decreased by 8.4% year-on-year.
Judging from the prosperity of the cotton textile industry, it was 50.4% in 2021, a year-on-year increase of 2.5%; in April, it was 49.2%, and the prosperity index dropped from March. Judging from the situation in the first quarter of this year, thanks to the effective domestic epidemic control work, the overall operating situation is better, and the production index and purchasing index have increased compared with last year. Relatively speaking, there was a decrease in April compared with March, but overall, the rate of increase in May was very obvious, and the overall decline was controllable.
Judging from the company’s main business income in 2020, it dropped by 8.6% year-on-year, the total profit dropped by 13.8% year-on-year, and the export delivery value dropped by 19.6% year-on-year. , the cumulative loss expanded by 0.83 percentage points year-on-year. Judging from the monthly situation, since February last year, due to the impact of the epidemic, major economic indicators have been showing a relatively sluggish trend, and will begin to turn from negative to positive in 2021. Thanks to the country’s effective control of the epidemic, the operating rate of textile companies has gradually recovered.
Since August and September last year, the orders and production operations of cotton spinning enterprises have gradually improved, especially the profits have been significantly improved. From January to April this year, the overall situation of textile enterprises was very good, especially the situation of purecotton yarn enterprises was optimistic, which was the best period in the past ten years. The production situation of cluster enterprises is basically the same as that of key enterprises. The good operation of pure cotton yarn this year, especially in the first half of this year, has greatly improved the development of our cotton spinning industry.
Cotton will fluctuate greatly in 2020, and the resulting changes in the price difference between domestic and foreign cotton will have a very obvious impact on textile companies. For textile companies, the biggest pressure comes from the fluctuation of cotton prices. Their real demand is for stability rather than decline. Especially after June, textile companies clearly felt that orders were showing a downward trend, so companies were very worried that cotton prices would fluctuate as a result.
Judging from the operation of the chemical fiber market, generally speaking, the increase and speed of chemical fiber have developed very rapidly in recent years, especially cellulose fiber. Affected by the increase in its production capacity, in 2020The price drop of viscose is greater than that of cotton. Overall, the price drop of viscose staple fiber is more due to the pressure of production capacity expansion. The lyocell fiber we know now will probably continue to increase in the production capacity planning of every large enterprise in the next few decades, and its role as a substitute for cotton is also very obvious.
The current situation facing the industry: (1) The global economic and trade situation is complex and severe. At present, we need to face a complex and severe trade situation, including the international community’s political suppression of China, the impact of the epidemic, rising export freight, appreciation of the RMB and other factors. Opportunities and challenges coexist, and the situation is wrong.Complex. (2) Domestic consumer market demand upgrades. In recent years, the domestic situation has improved, including textiles and clothing, which has a lot to do with the increase in domestic demand in the market. However, we must also have an objective understanding of the current situation in the textile and clothing industry. For example, regarding the recent epidemic that has caused orders from South and Southeast Asia to be transferred domestically, how large the quantity is and how high the added value is. Judging from the back-end situation, the situation of clothing companies and home textile companies is not as hot as the market discussion. After June, clothing orders also showed a clear downward trend. (3) As the current epidemic continues, the timing and extent of global consumption recovery are uncertain. Compared with the increase in textile and apparel exports at the same stage in previous years, the overall export situation this year is still slightly light, and it is not appropriate to be overly optimistic.
Countermeasures: First, make full use of both domestic and international markets. The second is to focus on product differentiation. As for the textile industry, cotton yarn is eternal, but at the same time, we must also pay attention to small batches and multiple varieties to achieve differentiation to obtain better product added value. The third is technological transformation to achieve automation and intelligent development. The fourth is to stay together and achieve cluster development. The agglomeration of high-quality enterprises and large enterprises in China’s textile industry will become more obvious in the future. The fifth is to extend the industrial chain. In addition to taking the high-end route and achieving sustainable development that truly meets market demand and corporate interests, extending the industrial chain is also the only way.
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