Investigation report on cotton early warning system in Xiantao City

From January 17 to 24, 2022, Xiantao City Cotton Company organized a special team of personnel to conduct a cotton planting cost survey on 30 cotton farmers in 10 calming points in the 2021 China Cotton Early Warning System, and conducted a survey on the city’s cotton planting costs. The operating conditions of 400-type and 200-type cotton purchasing and processing enterprises have been investigated. In 2021, the cotton market in Xiantao City will show a trend of stable output, increasing demand, and rising prices.

Cotton production

The cotton planting area in Xiantao City in 2021 is 111,200 acres, a decrease of 39,000 acres, or 25.9%, from 150,200 acres in the previous year; cotton cultivation is still based on traditional nutrient bowls, and a few cotton farmers adopt simple live broadcast methods Planting. Through a sample survey of 30 farmers under the early warning system, and based on the instrument inspection data of the fiber inspection department, the city’s cotton quality status: lint The main body color grade is mainly light-stained cotton grade 2, the main body length is 29 mm, the average clothing score is 37.57%, and the micronaire value is с grade.

The city’s seed cotton yield per mu was 240.8 kilograms, an increase of 31.4 kilograms or 15% over the previous year’s 209.4 kilograms; the average sales unit price was 8.16 yuan/kg, an increase of 2.46 yuan/kg or 43% higher than the previous year; the output value per mu was 1965.07 yuan , an increase of 771.47 yuan from 1193.6 yuan last year, an increase of 65%.

Cotton purchase and sale

This year, the city has 3 400-type and 6 200-type companies participating in the acquisition. As of December 31, the city has purchased a total of 8,990 tons of seed cotton, 1,320 tons more than in 2020; the average purchase unit price is 9.66 yuan/kg, an increase of 3.36 yuan year-on-year. /kg, an increase of 53%. Calculated based on the cotton seed price of 3.20 yuan/kg, 2,769 tons of lint were processed, and the processing cost was 20,480 yuan/ton; 2,536 tons of lint were sold, with a sales price of 21,139 yuan/ton, an increase from 13,699 yuan/ton in the previous year. 7,440 yuan/ton, an increase of 54%, and the current inventory of lint cotton is 233 tons. According to the survey, most of the 200 ginning companies this year gave up their main business of cotton processing and started selling seed cotton. Selling seed cotton is a certain profit, while processing lint cotton faces great risks in sales. The two rights should be chosen. After comparison, the ginner actually made a wiser choice. In order to compete for resources, some 400-type ginning companies have expanded their acquisition scope to villages and towns in surrounding counties and cities. The purchase price of cotton futures jumped to more than 22,000 yuan/ton. Even if there was a slight correction in the middle, the amplitude was very limited and continued to run at a high level. Moreover, the inversion of cotton futures and spot prices was also at a historical high. Under such circumstances, the acquisition and processing of cotton by ginning companies is like being involved in a highly risky gamble, and they may face huge losses if they are not careful.

Cotton planting income

Farmers’ income from cotton planting reached a record high this year. Affected by the high cotton market price, the average net income per mu of cotton exceeded 1,500 yuan. This was also a very high year in the city’s cotton planting history. Shi Qiuting, a cotton farmer from the second group of Xinhua Village, Pengchang Town, said: “This year, the purchase price of seed cotton has reached more than 8 yuan/kg. The price has met psychological expectations. I am very satisfied with this year’s income.”

Last year, the price of seed cotton was only 5-6 yuan/kg. This year, the price has risen to 8 yuan/kg. Against the background of the obvious increase in cotton prices, the waste phenomenon has been well curbed. On the cotton stalks stacked on the edge of the field There is no more cotton in sight. This is the power of the market.

Although cotton prices have increased in 2021, the overall income from cotton planting has increased significantly compared with 2020. However, because cotton cultivation is labor-intensive, time-consuming and labor-intensive, and the subsidy policy has not been implemented, compared with other crops (corn, soybeans, etc.) ) is relatively efficient, but cotton farmers are still not very enthusiastic about planting cotton. The overall cotton planting intention area continues to decrease, but the decline has slowed down compared with previous years. Among them, nearly 30% of the monitoring households have unclear cotton planting intention and are still waiting and watching. It is hoped that relevant departments will clarify the implementation methods of the cotton policy as soon as possible so that farmers can make early arrangements.

AAA

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